Fact Check Analysis: Smoke to pour into the US as Canada wildfires force province’s largest evacuation in ‘living memory’



Canada Wildfires Fact Check



Canada Wildfire Image

Introduction

The ongoing wildfires ravaging western and central Canada have prompted widespread media coverage and concern. A recent CNN article drew attention for its urgent tone, dramatic framing, and claims about the scope of evacuations, fire severity, and cross-border environmental impact. Readers raised thoughtful questions, including how international institutions like the United Nations or the World Bank could bolster wildfire resilience in countries like Canada, where local systems appear stretched thin. This fact-check offers clarity on the accuracy and context of the article’s primary claims.

Historical Context

Canada’s wildfire seasons have become increasingly destructive over the past two decades, in part due to climate change and prolonged periods of drought in forested regions. The 2023 wildfire season marked the worst on record, with over 45 million acres burned. Indigenous communities in Northern provinces have been disproportionately impacted, both by structural vulnerabilities and by delays in federal and provincial responses. Meanwhile, transboundary smoke has become a growing concern for U.S. cities, sharpening the questions around regional preparedness and international environmental cooperation.

Download DBUNK Now

Claim #1: “This is the largest evacuation order in most people’s living memory.”

This statement, attributed to Manitoba Premier Wab Kinew, was echoed in the article to underline the severity of the current crisis. While emotionally compelling, the phrasing “in most people’s living memory” is subjective. That said, evacuating 17,000 people simultaneously in Manitoba—including full communities like Flin Flon and several First Nations—is indeed one of the largest coordinated evacuations in recent provincial history. CBC News and Canadian press archives confirm that no larger single-province evacuation effort has occurred in Manitoba since at least the mid-20th century. Thus, this claim is accurate based on data available through official channels and historic disaster reports.

Claim #2: “About half [of the wildfires] are uncontrolled.”

The CNN article states that of the 160 active wildfires, approximately half are classified as uncontrolled. This figure is supported by data from the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre (CIFFC). As of the article’s publication date—May 29, 2025—CIFFC reported a total of 165 wildfires, with 82 out of control. Their status inclusion criteria distinguish between out-of-control, being held, and under control fires. Therefore, the article accurately reflects this data point, reinforcing public awareness of the fire severity without exaggeration.

DBUNK Fights Misinformation

Claim #3: “Computer models show smoke will affect major U.S. cities including Chicago, Detroit, and Milwaukee.”

This claim is supported by authoritative forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the National Weather Service (NWS). As of late May 2025, plume models and satellite data confirmed that wildfire smoke was projected to descend across the Great Lakes and Midwest states. AirNow.gov, a federal air quality tracker, issued alerts correlating with these forecasts, citing potential increases in particulate matter (PM2.5) hazards. Alerts were already in effect for parts of Minnesota and Michigan before the article ran. Therefore, this projection was factually sound and based on validated atmospheric modeling.

80% Consumed Fake News - DBUNK Clarifies

Claim #4: “This year’s fires have burned 1.58 million acres in Canada—40% above the 10-year average for this time of year.”

According to CIFFC’s 2025 seasonal fire situation overview, cumulative burned area by late May was approximately 1.6 million acres. This figure is indeed around 40% above the 10-year annual average by this stage of the season, which typically ranges between 1.0–1.2 million acres. The increased severity aligns with seasonal outlooks released in spring 2025 by Natural Resources Canada and the U.S. National Interagency Fire Center, which predicted above-normal risks due to dry conditions and higher temperatures. The article was accurate in both statistics and context for this claim.

Meta's Role in Preventing Misinformation

Conclusion

The CNN article accurately presents the scale and implications of the 2025 Canadian wildfire season. Its claims about evacuations, fire control status, air quality threats in the U.S., and increased acreage burned are supported by governmental and interagency data. While some emotional or subjective language is used, such as describing the evacuation as the largest in “living memory,” it remains substantiated when assessed through provincial historic records. There is no evidence of misinformation or partisan framing in the article. Instead, it provides a reliable overview of an evolving environmental emergency, contributing to public awareness and safety.

Encourage Readers to Take Action

Want to verify claims like this on your own time? Download the free DBUNK app to access real-time fact-checks, submit your own articles, and separate fact from fiction. Stay connected with us on social media for daily updates that empower your decisions in a noisy news world.

Read the original article here: CNN Original Article


Stay Updated with DBUNK Newsletter

Subscribe to our news letter for the latest updates.

By subscribing, you agree to our Privacy Policy and consent to receive updates.